Time Series Analysis of Indian Suicides: Correlation with Human Development Index (HDI)

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Acta Medica International,2015,2,1,122-124.
Published:January 2015
Type:Original Article

Time Series Analysis of Indian Suicides: Correlation with Human Development Index (HDI)

P Gopala Sarma Poduri
Rtd. Prof. & HOD of Psychiatry, Consultant Psychiatrist, Yashoda Super Specialty Hospital, Nalgonda Roads, Hyderabad - 500 036, India

Abstract:

Background: There was an increasing trend for suicide Objective: To examine the trend and relationship between Indian Suicide Rates and Human Development Index (HDI). Method: Trends of Suicide rates and HDI values were evaluated by moving averages time series analysis (ARIMA Model). S. Rate and HDI were subjected to Pearson Correlation Coefficient and Spearman’s ρ. Results: There was an increasing trend for both the parameters with minor exceptions in suicide rates. Significant correlation between suicide rates and HDI values were found. Conclusion: The notion that suicide and development were related found support. It warrants further analysis into contribution of individual components of HDI.

Extrapolation of exponential smoothing of S. Rates